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You usually hear in NFL preseason wagering that it truly doesn’t matter who wins or loses but is that truly accurate? Squads that win in the course of the preseason are in fact more inclined to carry that success into the regular season. NFL preseason probabilities do not vary much as the majority of the time the home team is liked by about a field goal.



NFL preseason wagering features more than a month of matches. Since they met in the Hall of Fame Game, the Dallas Cowboys and Cincinnati Bengals will play five preseason matches. Does it in fact matter to squads like Dallas or Cincinnati when they win in the preseason? Preseason results do not mean anything is the answer that you get from most people, but it’s not accurate.

The Cowboys in particular may be a quality bet this year if you trust that the results do matter. The team won the Hall of Fame Game as longshots, and then triumphed in their Week 1 preseason match vs Oakland. Their next match will be Saturday vs the San Diego Chargers. A desire to be the 1st team in NFL wagering history to sponsor the Super Bowl in their own stadium is especially motivating the Cowboys this year. You can see in the Cowboys’ performance so far how eager they are to be the team playing at Cowboys stadium this year, which is where the Super Bowl is going to be held at the end of the year. And this enthusiasm isn’t going to die with the preseason.

To illustrate how important preseason records are, let’s look at the Steelers. In the past 11 years the preseason track record of the Steelers has suggested how they will do in the regular season. Last year the Steelers went 3-1 in the preseason and ended 9-7. They in fact ought to have been better than that last year but they inexplicably lost matches versus squads like Oakland, Cleveland and Kansas City. 2 years ago the Steelers were 3-1 in the preseason and then went 12-4 in the regular season and ended up winning the Super Bowl. 3 years ago the Steelers went on to finish 10-6 in the regular season after they went 4-1 in the preseason. Four years ago they went 0-4 and then bumbled to an 8-8 record and missed the playoffs. The Steelers went 11-5 in the course of the regular season after they went 3-1 in the 2005 preseason, and won the Super Bowl. The preseason has certainly mattered for the Steelers.

When you look back at NFL preseason probabilities you will see that success and failure does get brought over to the regular season. Three years ago there have been only two squads that went 0-4 in the preseason. The Rams and Chiefs both went losing and then followed the preseason up by winding up 3-13 and 4-12 respectively. That year, Green Bay, Tampa Bay, Seattle, New England, Pittsburgh, Indianapolis and San Diego all went 3-1 or greater in the preseason and then proceeded to win their divisions.

Yes, the preseason does matter and success or failure can carry over into the regular season.


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